![]() The audio files include PLAYBACK+, a multi-functional audio player that allows you to slow down audio without changing pitch, set loop points, change keys, and pan left or right. The Reproducible Pak includes vocal lines, lyric sheets and dialog.Īudio is accessed online using the unique code generated upon purchase and can be streamed or downloaded. Check out the latest new songs (2023), top 50 songs, sad songs, romantic songs, hindi songs of Bugz and albums. The Teacher's Manual comes complete with piano/vocal arrangements, script, choreography and a production guide. Bugz New Songs (2023) - Download Bugz mp3 hit songs list and latest albums, Songs Download, (2023) all best songs of Bugz to your Hungama account. Mostly we’re bugs, some spiders and ants and other squirmy things. ![]() It’s the best we’ve ever had Ladybug-1 Eden You’re probably wondering what we are, Dressed up with antennas and wings. ![]() Discover Bugz’s latest songs, popular songs, trending songs all on Boomplay. If you want to download Bugz songs MP3, use the Boomplay App to download the Bugz songs for free. Looks like everything is set! But what's this!?! The Stink Bug wants to come too! Buzz on over to the country-style hoedown and help the critters rescue the party! 20 minutes long for Grades K-4, it includes five original songs and clever rhyming dialog. Bugz (Intro Song) Honeybee- 1 Mason Ladies and Gentlemen, boys and girls Katydids and Katydads We hope you will enjoy our show. Enjoy Bugz’s latest songs and explore the Bugz’s new music albums. There's going to be a picnic and everyone is pitchin' in.the Lady Bugs are in charge of proper etiquette, the Army Ants will handle security, the Fireflies are in charge of lighting, and entertainment will be provided by the Bumble Bees.
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Featured in the October issue of InStyle, the couple shows off their Westchester, New York house thats filled with lovely antiques and artwork. Maria Cuomo Cole is a Peabody and Emmy award-winning documentary filmmaker dedicated to creating social impact with films addressing some of the most. But theres no denying that he and his wife Maria Cuomo have a gorgeous home. Names and affiliations aside, however, Emily, Amanda, and Catie Cole are all paving their own impressive paths while maintaining their family's dedication to social issues across the board. You might not agree with anything that comes out of Kenneth Coles mouth (or Twitter feed). As if we could fit any more dynasties into the mix (or at the holiday dinner table), that means the Cole sisters are the cousins of the Kennedy-Cuomo girls, a.k.a. Political will is needed to meet the alarming demand for housing, food security and mental health services - the basic care Jordan Neely cried out for. The documentary film producer is the daughter of former governor of New York, Mario Cuomo, and yes, sister of current governor Andrew Cuomo along with CNN's Chris Cuomo. 67,880 people are sleeping in NYC shelters tonight and another 3,439 in public spaces. As long as you are silenced, we will be your voice, he told a crowd of 200k outside the UN. The downtime may have given Cole and his wife, Maria Cuomo Colesister of governor Andrew and CNN anchor Chrismore opportunities to stay in at their 11.35-acre estate in Purchase, New York. She is the eldest daughter of Mario Cuomo and Matilda Cuomo. She is one of the producers of Us Kids, a documentary that explores the aftermath of the mass shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School that took place in 2018. Maria Cuomo Cole is the middle child of the Cuomo clan and an Emmy-winning documentary producer. Mom Maria Cuomo Cole is indeed of the Cuomos. Found this photo of my father at a protest against Moscow’s treatment of Jews in 1984. Cuomo was born on March 29, 1955, in New York, USA. Maria Cuomo Cole Credit: Getty Images - Getty Maria Cuomo Cole. And not just because of who their dad is. Andrew Cuomo, Maria Cuomo Cole, Margaret Cuomo and Madeline Cuomo. Such is the life of the iconic designer's three very chic daughters, who, despite maintaining low profiles on social media, have long been society darlings. But not according to CNNs PrimeTime host Chris Fredo Cuomo and CNN Tonight host. Well, when your dad is Kenneth Cole, shoes are surely in no short supply - and neither are the red carpet invitations. Residents have spoken out before about the unsafe living conditions at the Manhattan shelter run by HELP USA, which has a five-year, $63.7 million contract with New York City's Department of Homeless Services that runs through 2023, according to comptroller data.If you thought fighting with your sister over borrowed shoes was intense, imagine drawing straws to see who gets to go with dad to the Met Gala. Check out the filmography of actor Maria Cuomo Cole and get a complete list of all of her upcoming movies releasing in the coming months, her previous year. Residents at HELP Meyer told the New York Post that elevators in the building, where the shelter occupies floors six through eight, are consistently delayed, and outages have caused problems and pose risks for residents who in many cases are unable to use the stairs. Her elder son, Andrew Cuomo, was New Yorks 56th governor until he resigned ( see Andrew M Cuomo)Cuomos daughter Maria Cuomo Cole is a film producer of Newtown and The Invisible War. RT ColumbiaGR: This Saturday, dont miss the PENworldvoices conversation about journalistic objectivity, featuring CGRs own Sulliview (author of GHOSTING THE NEWS), and columbiajourns Jelani Cobb. Maria, and Madeline, and sons Andrew and Christopher. We are pleased that our client has recovered, returned to shelter, and is again receiving health and social services from HELP USA," the statement continued. Matilda Cuomo (born Mattia Raffa born September 16. Their safety is our responsibility and our top priority. "We expect that NYS OMH, the building's owner, will work with us to improve operations and make the necessary infrastructure investments to keep our residents safe. In a statement to Insider, HELP USA said it has "advocated repeatedly for improvements to the elevator system at the Meyer Mental Health Shelter." Account icon An icon in the shape of a person's head and shoulders. ![]() "Given the evidence, I don't think many people would dispute Yelp's influence," says Luca. Restaurant owners routinely grouse about being held hostage to their Yelp ratings, accusing other restaurants of gaming the system by stacking reviews by friends and family, or simply falling prey to a popularity contest by uninformed palates. The more difficult question to answer is whether the public's reviews are reliable measures of a restaurant's actual quality. "This is one reason why consumer demand is shifting from chain to independent restaurants in the period following the introduction of Yelp," Luca writes. But review sites are leveling the playing field by allowing consumers to learn as much about independent restaurants as they know about the chains. Friday's of the world have been safe bets for diners because their fare is of an expected quality and their menu well-known-thanks in part to big-budget advertising behind the chains. Indeed, he believes the data suggests that local eateries are starting to siphon off customers from the "Big Boys." Why? The Applebee's and the T.G.I. ![]() "People are not using Yelp to find out about McDonald's."īut Luca says the big chains should not be comforted by the findings. "Yelp is somewhat of a substitute for traditional forms of reputation," says Luca. That makes sense according to economic theory, says Luca, since diners presumably already have some knowledge about chain restaurants, but can benefit from more information about their neighborhood spots. Chain restaurants, in particular, were largely unaffected by the ratings, while the greatest effect was shown for independent restaurants. When the dust settled, Luca determined that each ratings star added on a Yelp review translated to anywhere from a 5 percent to 9 percent effect on revenues (depending on the control variables and means of estimation)-more than he had expected.Įven more interestingly, within that number not all restaurants were created equal. The result: Luca could directly trace the effect to the ratings on Yelp. By applying a regression discontinuity analysis, Luca could study how revenues jumped when star thresholds were crossed and compare these with the more steady changes over time. Hence restaurants with similar ratings can have very different rounded ratings displayed to consumers. In order to establish causality between reviews and a restaurant's success, Luca took advantage of the fact that Yelp rounds its ratings to the nearest half-star-so, for example, a 3.26 rating would be rounded up to 3.5 stars, and a 3.24 rating would be rounded down to 3 stars. Luca compared the ratings over time with revenue data from the state of Washington to gauge how reviews impacted restaurants' bottom lines. Luca chose to investigate Yelp not only because it was the first restaurant site to emphasize user reviews over professional critics, but also because of its historical database that tracks every review. By contrast, The Seattle Times had reviewed roughly 5 percent. In Seattle alone, Yelp, which launched in 2005, had accumulated 60,000 reviews by 2009, rating 70 percent of the city's restaurants. In theory, ratings sites fill in the gaps by providing a tremendous amount of information on which to base decisions. "Restaurants are a classic example in economics where the consumer has to make a decision based on very little information," he says. To get a handle on the phenomenon, Luca focused on one of the most common uses of online ratings: restaurants. Luca is looking at rankings, expert evaluations, online consumer reviews, and quality disclosure laws to see how they work in market settings, and which are most important for consumers. How reputation is earned in the digital age is a fertile area of his research. "I have always been interested in how companies form their reputations, not only restaurants and hotels but also schools and doctors," says Luca. In the paper Reviews, Reputation, and Revenue: The Case of, Harvard Business School Assistant Professor Michael Luca set to find out exactly by how much, and identify winners and losers in the process. Most would agree these sites do influence consumers' decisions. “Restaurants are a classic example in economics where the consumer has to make a decision based on very little information” Along the way, they've earned a loyal following from fans, but also the ire of businesses that find themselves hurt by dyspeptic reviews. In recent years, consumer review sites including Yelp, Citysearch, and TripAdvisor have become the first stop for recommendations on everything from dinner to dentists. What’s great is that Polly is so easy to use. It sports an API that lets you easily integrate speech synthesis capabilities into ebooks, articles and other media. Developers can use the software to create speech-enabled products and apps. Employing advanced deep learning techniques, the software turns text into lifelike speech. You can also try the service out for free for up to 10 minutes, without downloads.Īlexa isn’t the only artificial intelligence tool created by tech giant Amazon as it also offers an intelligent text-to-speech system called Amazon Polly. The Basic plan starts at around $19 / £17 / AU$28 per month but if you set up a yearly plan that will drop to around $13 / £12 / AU$20 per month. The latter of these options may be pricey but some with added collaboration and account management features that larger companies may need access to. The solution comes with three pricing plans to choose from: Basic, Pro and Enterprise. Other features include Voice Editing, Time Syncing, and a Grammar Assistant. There's even a Voice Changer feature that allows you to record something before it is transformed into an AI-generated voice- perfect if you don't think you have the right tone or accent for a piece of audio content but would rather not enlist the help of a voice actor. Murf comes with a comprehensive suite of AI tools that are easy to use and straightforward to locate and access. Specializing in voice synthesis technology, Murf uses AI to generate realistic voiceovers for a range of uses, from e-learning to corporate presentations. ![]() Video editing could be more comprehensive ![]() Both the online and software products have a free tier. There are three different products: online, software, and commercial. The software supports PDF, TXT, DOC(X), ODT, PNG, JPG, plus non-DRM EPUB files and much more, along with MP3 audio streams. And just like Capti Voice, you can upload documents from cloud storage lockers such as Google Drive, Dropbox and OneDrive.Ĭurrently, you can access 56 natural-sounding voices in nine different languages, including American English, British English, French, Spanish, German, Swedish, Italian, Portuguese and Dutch. Aimed more at personal use, the solution allows you to convert written text such as Word and PDF documents, ebooks and web pages into human-like speech.īecause the software is underpinned by cloud technology, you’re able to access it from wherever you go via a smartphone, tablet or computer. If you’re looking for a cloud-based speech synthesis application, you should definitely check out NaturalReader. ![]() To unzip, double-click on the file to extract it to the same location. All you need to do is multi-select the files, right-click, and choose Compress from the menu to create a zip file. RAR files (Roshal Archive Compressed File) is one of the most common archive file format, used extensively on the Internet for high data transmission and. Creating a zip file is much easier though since the Mac does this natively. You can also download and use WinZip Mac for free for 45 days, but you'll need to pay to use it after. If you only need to create rar files occasionally, you can use an online tool like CloudConvert which is free for up to 25 conversions per day. ![]() WinRAR provides the complete support for RAR files, so you can both create and. If you downloaded RAR file from Internet, you need to unpack its contents in order to use it. Like other archives, RAR file is a data container storing one or several files in compressed form. Once you have selected the rar file, it will download it to your browser and show the contents. RAR is the native format of WinRAR archiver. You will need to authorise access to ezyZip the first time. It can't create a rar file, unlike more sophisticated programs like WinZip. How do I extract rar files in Dropbox Click on the Dropbox logo () in the rar file selector button. While The Unarchiver is a handy app for opening compressed files, that's all it's good for. The individual files can now be moved, copied, uploaded, or shared. The rar format maintains the same file names, so if they're image or video files, those names will be exactly what they were before compression. The files in the rar archive will now appear in a regular folder on the Mac. ![]() If Step 3 doesn't work, right-click on the file, hover over Open With, and select The Unarchiver from the list. So on Xee I rolled back to 3.5.Open The Unarchiver app and select Rar Archive under Archive Formats.Ĭlick on the Extraction tab and choose a destination folder for the extracted archive.ĭouble-click on the rar file on your Mac and it should immediately extract the contents into the chosen destination folder. Some pages show up as noise, where as other programs(like Comic Reader). I should mention Xee 3.5.3(marketed by the same company) inherited a bug in the new release, that it can no longer reliably read. Quit button disappears.) and the program hangs. Then somehow “The Unarchiver” memory gets corrupted, and the menus no longer work(e.g. If your hosting plan is Premium, WordPress Starter or above, you have SSH enabled. BTW, there seems to be another bug that comes up if you select more than about 250 files from Finder and invoke “The Unarchiver”. So i am temporarily using command line tools to do the operations. Now, randomly I get a notofication about the encoding the compressed file uses. Before the last two versions, I could choose ‘Compress “some directory”’ from the finder menu, and then few minutes later I could uncompress it by using “The Unarchiver”. However there are more problems with version 3.11.3. By default, Windows 11 cannot open RAR files but it has an in-built ZIP file extractor. Then they had a problem with 3.11.2, which they think they fixed in 3.11.3. The Zip file will be saved to the default download folder on your PC. Until this version 3.1.2 it was a 5 star now maybe 4 Find the RAR archive file, usually in your Downloads folder, and double click it. If you could implement something like that in your next update that would be greatly appreciated! Again, thank you for developing this application, beacuse it is really awesome and allows me to get my job more done more efficiently, but please don't put pop-ups in your software. rar files by default, you will need software to open them. The developers allow you to display the normal icon for the app or the #StandwithUkraine version. Steps You Need To Follow To Use The 7-Zip Program To Open The RAR Files: rar extractors available in the market, the best one is the free 7-Zip program. ![]() It was created by Eugene Roshal, hence the name Roshal ARchive. Spark, an excellent email client, is a great example of this. rar) file is a proprietary compressed container file, similar to a ZIP (.zip) file. I don't want to be reminded of this when I am unzipping some files on the job, please remove this in your next build or at least give us the option to remove it. I stand with Ukraine and have donated to the cause of helping them get on their feet and fight during this time of war. But why I am writing this review is because of a very frustrating pop-up within The Unarchiver. Amazing utility, but with the annoyance of pop-upsįirst of all MacPaw, love what you guys do, Setapp and CleanMyMacX are staples of the amazing apps and services available for the Mac platform, and developers like you guys keep the Mac such an enticing platform. ![]() Soon, more celebrities were hailing the drink as a longevity-boosting elixir. Celebrities like Gweneth Paltrow and Naomi Campbell, both of whom consumers looked to for health and beauty advice, praised GT’s kombucha across interviews. ![]() The drink’s health benefits aligned perfectly with the Whole Foods mission, and GT’s was soon made available to wellness warriors across the country. Then, a pivotal moment occurred in 1999: Whole Foods got word of GT’s Kombucha. In fact, GT was turned down by many of the stores he approached. While the product gained moderate momentum through this technique, it didn’t become a commercial success overnight. GT brewing small batches in really early day. His mom often appeared in stores alongside the drink to pitch its health benefits, sharing her personal recovery story with both skeptics and followers. His strategy? Walking into health food stores across Los Angeles and pitching his product face-to-face. While it may have been easier to explain the new beverage in major press releases and on TV commercials, Dave humbly pursued a one-man promotion operation instead. What are probiotics? How can fermented foods help the body? These were the many questions Dave had to answer on a daily basis. ![]() When GT’s emerged in the health foods market in the late 1990’s, the idea of kombucha was foreign to most. It's a living culture that sometimes appears as a flat pancake-like disc, and a single 'SCOBY' can brew multiple batches of kombucha Starting From Scratch 'SCOBY' is an acronym for symbiotic culture of bacteria and yeast, kind of like a starter for baking sourdough. And when it helped his mother with her battle against cancer, GT Dave knew that it was time to bring kombucha to the masses. It wasn’t until his family and friends started asking to buy the home brew that he considered making the hobby into a business. It was all because of a man called George Thomas Dave (GT Dave) and his hand-me-down scoby.* Dave and his family brewed the drink as an at-home hobby after receiving the culture from a friend. The mass commercial growth of this bubbly beverage wasn’t by chance. Via TechNavio : Kombucha market will grow and grow This number is expected to exceed 2.4 billion by the year 2022, showing that sales of the drink aren’t slowing down anytime soon. It’s also good for making money: In 2016, the global market value of kombucha was estimated at 1.06 billion U.S. Kombucha is still consumed for its wellness benefits, and many people believe the drink can improve digestion, boost immunity and reduce the risk of certain diseases. While the exact origins of kombucha remain murky, one fact is clear: humans have been brewing and drinking it in the name of good health for thousands of years. How do you sell a product in an entirely new category? How do you stay true to your small-batch roots when you go mainstream? How do you even sell a product when people don’t know what it is?įrom handing out bottles in small scale health foods stores to sponsoring the biggest music festivals on earth, here’s how GT’s became America’s first commercial kombucha brewer. The day we spoke, it was Fuyu persimmons.As the health food brand that made fermented drinks cool again, GT’s kombucha is an uncanny marketing success story across multiple fronts. He starts with a blended cold-pressed juice (he likes the spicy greens) from his Juicero-a $700 juicer popular among the Silicon Valley set-before he piles in coco kefir (young, raw coconut water rich in probiotics), chia seeds, spirulina, raw bee pollen, a frozen banana, blueberries or raspberries if he has some, Plant Fusion pea protein powder, and, depending on the season, whatever fruit he can find at the market. This is just the beginning of the one-and-a-half-to-two gallons of fermented tea he drinks every day.Īfter his morning kombucha and meditation, GT Dave (Yes, this is his full name) makes a smoothie. “What I love about kombucha, when you consume it in the morning, is it kind of establishes a nice solid foundation for your stomach and gut and appetite for the rest of the day,” he says. But the 39-year-old Californian, who lives in Trousdale and grew up in Bel Air, is serious about GT’s Kombucha, the company that launched the probiotic beverage into the mainstream and made him a fortune. This might seem like an exercise in branding for the founder and CEO of the world’s most successful kombucha company. The first thing GT Dave does every day is drink kombucha. ![]() Their adventures had them fighting out-of-control beast men and trying to stop an evil creature being released by the gathering of talismans. It is the most adaptable and assists Kratos in fending off adversaries when he might otherwise be overpowered.The manga was released in two volumes during 2001. The Finger of Ruin, at its third tier, has excellent numbers with 5 in Damage, 4 in Force, and 3 in Stun. With 231 seconds each usage, the cooldown is quite long. As Kratos uses this move, he conjures up a huge tornado that flies straight at the targets lining them up like bowling pins for Atreus to shoot. ![]() Summon a massive tornado to send enemies tumbling in its path.ĭespite the immense might of all gods, Kratos appears to be the only one who can start a tornado with the spin of a spear. Creating breathing room for Kratos as enemies will be pushed away and frozen.The only drawback is that it only has a single usage every fight due to its lengthy 288-second cooldown Excels in: With 5 points in Damage and 3 points in Frost, it can be upgraded to level 3. It's an excellent move to give Kratos some breathing room because it completely dominates the battlefield and prevents anyone from attacking. As Kratos is immune to all attacks, foes will gradually lose health and become overrun by Frost. Everyone on the battlefield is caught in a storm created by this powerful area-of-effect attack that surrounds Kratos and deals Frost and Damage to everyone inside. Holding the handle of his Leviathan Axe, Kratos will release a powerful force onto the battlefield. Making space from surrounding enemies with the ground slamĪ massive area-of-effect attack that deals damage to all enemies within an extremely large area.Cutting distance between enemies by leaping to them.Players receive 4 damage points, 5 force points, and 2 stun points from an upgraded version of Honor the Fallen. If players are having trouble catching up to foes or just need to make room for themselves by pushing several enemies aside, they should perform this heavy runic attack. In Ragnarok, holding R2 charges up this attack for extra damage as a gust of wind positions opponents for attack, making them ideal targets. Kratos will leap into the air and execute a long-range dive, slamming the spear into the ground with a powerful and devastating impact. Initiates a powerful wind gust to stagger enemies while leaping. Moreover, it has two points in Burn and Stun, making it a really effective perk all around. Tame the Beast has a 133-second cooldown, 5 points of damage, and is unquestionably a ferocious ability to deploy. If they press R2 while using the ability, players can even make more violent swipes, demonstrating their superiority over the other nine realms. Players can maintain a respectable distance while using the powerful runic attack to repeatedly whip and scorch surrounding opponents with a series of swipes from the Blades of Chaos. ![]() Gives you time to link together combos with other runics.Ī series of Blade whips scorches nearby enemies.Īt a distance, Tame the Beast works best.In freezing the opponents to give yourself time to flee or pick up collectibles.In area damage if you are surrounded by enemies.Players will have 3 Damage points and a magnificent 5 Stun points when it reaches its maximum level, which means enemies will be slain by Kratos' Spartan rage in no time. Kratos shields during this attack and is 100 % safe. Kratos will throw the axe with all of his strength during Leviathan's Roar, and it will come back to him with a devastating impact of Frost damage to the surrounding area. This devastating heavy runic attack really puts the Leviathan Axe to use. Kratos is fully protected while shielding. A powerful Axe throw that returns with devastating impact. ![]() This software also gives us the freedom to create our own iPhone ringtones. In this way, we feel tension free about the loss of contacts of our loved ones. It not only save the contacts by creating their backup but also allows us to import them to any device for the safest protection. It is a useful application to save the contacts list of our phone. It also has the amazing features of Batch-Uninstall and Batch-Install. Additionally, we may also create the GIFs by joining any of static images or even any part of any video. Thus, we may have fun by creating the wonderful GIFs by using live photos, motion photos. We can also create and edit the animated GIFs. We may share, organize and ultimately enjoy every moment of our life by using simple features of TunesGo. Using this product we can easily share all sorts of data between any two devices. It is specially designed for Android 8.0 and iOS 11. 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Now managing Android and iPhone is not a difficult task because Wondershare TunesGo Crack with license key is now available to free download. ![]() Are also supported: equirectangular images, 3D stereo video and images, different display outputs. Another recommendation would be to render in 2:1 ratio, i.e. In GoPro VR Player, you can input 360 videos up to 4K, and for video formats above 4K you can also input CineForm 360 videos. Although, the goPro player seems to handle quite well whatever is passed to it. This new player is the latest and most advanced 360 video desktop player. ![]() Click 'Video' on the main interface and then flip the 'Add Video' button to load your fisheye look GoPro clips. When it comes to settings, I'd recommend switching the camera type to "spherical panorama" instead of spherical and then setting FOV=360 and vertical FOV=180 (at least that's what most players require). Today we’re proud to release the newest version of GoPro VR Player 2.0. Steps to Remove GoPro Fisheye Distortion in VideoProc Converter At first, free download the Windows version or the Mac version of the GoPro fisheye removal software. The viewport gives you a perspective view, while your 360 player gives you a spherical view. You need to more or less ignore what the viewport displays, it won't show you what your VR player will show you, and the reason is again the way the image is projected around/from your camera. Along with these features, Player + ReelSteady contains improved workflows and compatibility. Player allows you to view a wide variety of multimedia formats, including 360 footage. Maybe you can try that or try placing the camera right in front of the bike. Instead of traditional image analysis, ReelSteady analyzes the motion of your GoPro to deliver pro quality stabilization on virtually any shot. In your case - if you want your motorbike to be the exact center of your image, you need to place your camera where your bike is (although in this way, from the VR player you'll be able to see "around" the bike - as if you are standing on it - you won't be able to walk around it). Having this in mind, the position of your camera in your scene will determine the center point of your 360 image in your 360 viewer. Use the GoPro FX Reframe plugin to edit your HERO, MAX and Fusion footage in Adobe Premiere Pro and Adobe After Effects. When you render the image, a 360 degree sphere is constructed around your camera (in actual fact, the image is projected onto a sphere around your camera, but that's not important now). Get full creative control of your GoPro footage. /rebates/&252fscreen-recording-resource252fvr-video-player-windows. ![]() Additionally, more and more companies are announcing layoffs, particularly in the Tech sector. If this persists, the theory is that inflation will moderate further. While jobs growth of this amount might lead to wage growth of substance, the growth in December was a fairly normal 0.3%. This was substantially lower then where it had been at the end of 2021 (637,000 in Q4). Jobs growth remained solid but not overly strong growing at 247,000 for the prior three months. That is why the December labor report was comforting. Of course, there is another issue for bears to jump on – the potential for a recession. If inflation continues to ease, The Fed can keep rate hikes in line with or below their stated target and market conditions should improve. In November, inflation was down to 7.11% and decreased further in December to 6.45%. So, the big question in 2023 is whether the expected additional rate increases projected at just under 1% for the year (which theoretically is built into current share prices) is enough for The Fed. When rates increase the market tends to decline and high growth stocks decline even faster. A primary weapon is increasing the Fed Rate which they did 7 times in 2022 with the total increase of 4.25% being the largest amount in 27 years. When the rate kept increasing in the first half of 2022 the Feds began to act aggressively. It began to increase in 2021 (up to 4.7%) but many thought this was temporary due to easing of the pandemic. ![]() To put this in perspective, in the 9 years from 2012 to 2020, inflation was between 0.12% and 2.44% with 6 of the years below 2.0%. Two key drivers of negative market conditions in 2022 were the huge spike in inflation coupled by the Fed raising rates to battle it. But even great company’s stock performance can be heavily impacted in any given year by market conditions. What went wrong for my stock picks in 2022? I have always pointed out that I am not amongst the best at forecasting the market as a whole but have been very strong at selecting great companies which over the long term (5 years or more) typically have solid stock appreciation if their operating performance is consistently good. On the other hand, I believe this creates a unique opportunity to invest in some great companies at prices I believe are extremely compelling. On the one hand I’m mortified that stocks that I selected have declined precipitously not only impacting my personal investment portfolio but also those of you who have acted on my recommendations. 2022 was one of the worst years in the past 50 for the stock market in general, and for my stocks in particular. |
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